It
was a surprise to everyone when Facebook bought the messaging service giant
Whatsapp for $19 billion and people were even more surprised when Mark
Zuckerberg, the CEO of Facebook went on to say that Whatsapp was worth even
more. What has happened now is that the analysts at Credit Lyonnais Securities
Asia have evaluated several messaging apps and have come up with a statement
which says that WeChat, a Chinese competitor, owned by Tencent, is worth at
least $60 billion. They claim so because according to their study, WeChat has more
active revenues streams incorporated into its service than Whatsapp does. CSLA ranges
the valuation between $35 billion and $64 billion this year.
Though
the users of WeChat are less as compared to Whatsapp, it has more revenue
streams. Analysts Elinor Leung and Terry Chen write, “WhatsApp only generates
US$1/download. WeChat could generate revenues from mobile games, advertising,
eCommerce, O2O, mobile payment and Internet financing. Asia leads the global
smartphone game market especially Korea, Japan and China. eCommerce, online to
offline payments and mobile payment are unique business opportunities in China
given the poor offline infrastructure. Tencent has also invested heavily and
made aggressive acquisitions such as JD and Dianping to secure
the business opportunities.”
Also,
it seems like WeChat is likely to hit 450 million users this year, with each
subscriber worth some $142. Whatsapp has been maintaining for a while now that
it will continue to operate under Facebook in the same way without advertisements.
On the other hand, WeChat has taken a quite delicate approach when it comes to
advertising for now at least.
“While most online and offline corporates are
eager to tap WeChat users, Tencent has been careful controlling the promotional
activities by its public accounts,” the CLSA analysts write. “Users can only
find and follow the public accounts unless they know the name. Tencent doesn’t
provide a list of public accounts for users. Tencent has also limited the daily
promotional messages sent out by public accounts.”
However,
CLSA goes on to note that Tencent “will likely turn more aggressive on
monetizing through social advertising once user penetration is mature. Display
ads may not be the best advertising format on mobile social messaging platforms.”
WeChat
has made some interesting developments in terms of incorporating some
additional features like payments. Tencent has launched apps like red envelope
and taxi apps which will also be integrated with WeChat to complete
transactions for things like paying bills, buying things, red envelopes and
subscriptions.
“WeChat
payment registered users reportedly jumped 5 times given the viral effect of
the red envelope app,” CLSA writes.
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